TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 1:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the peak temperature in Austin on a specific future date, using official government data as the definitive source. Participants assess whether conditions will reach certain temperature thresholds based on verified meteorological records.
All markets resolve based solely on the highest temperature recorded at Austin Bergstrom International Airport on August 10, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The outcome depends on which temperature range the actual high falls into: below 94°F, 94-95°F, 96-97°F, 98-99°F, 100-101°F, or above 101°F. While preliminary or third-party weather data may offer early indications, only the final NWS report serves as the binding authority for resolution. Traders must recognize that preliminary NWS data might undergo revisions due to rounding, conversion processes, or reporting adjustments, making careful interpretation essential when assessing potential outcomes.