TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Highest temperature in Austin on Aug 10, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Austin on Aug 10, 2026?

Volume:
$58,056

98° to 99°

 - Kalshi

98° to 99° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 11, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 1:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

98° to 99°

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,261
N/A
N/A
$12,160
Settled
Yes
kalshi

96° to 97°

0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,172
N/A
N/A
$9,546
Settled
No
kalshi

100° to 101°

0%
11%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,982
N/A
N/A
$9,438
Settled
No
kalshi

94° to 95°

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,216
N/A
N/A
$2,358
Settled
No
kalshi

93° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,491
N/A
N/A
$1,477
Settled
No
kalshi

102° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$933
N/A
N/A
$915
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks the peak temperature in Austin on a specific future date, using official government data as the definitive source. Participants assess whether conditions will reach certain temperature thresholds based on verified meteorological records.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based solely on the highest temperature recorded at Austin Bergstrom International Airport on August 10, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). The outcome depends on which temperature range the actual high falls into: below 94°F, 94-95°F, 96-97°F, 98-99°F, 100-101°F, or above 101°F. While preliminary or third-party weather data may offer early indications, only the final NWS report serves as the binding authority for resolution. Traders must recognize that preliminary NWS data might undergo revisions due to rounding, conversion processes, or reporting adjustments, making careful interpretation essential when assessing potential outcomes.