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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

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events

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2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Highest temperature in Austin on Aug 1, 2026?
kalshi

Highest temperature in Austin on Aug 1, 2026?

Volume:
$128,182

96° to 97°

 - Kalshi

96° to 97° - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 2, 1:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

96° to 97°

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$19,904
N/A
N/A
$11,257
Settled
Yes
kalshi

95° or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46,042
N/A
N/A
$41,759
Settled
No
kalshi

102° to 103°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$25,436
N/A
N/A
$22,624
Settled
No
kalshi

98° to 99°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21,223
N/A
N/A
$10,744
Settled
No
kalshi

100° to 101°

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,258
N/A
N/A
$8,997
Settled
No
kalshi

104° or above

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,320
N/A
N/A
$1,232
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event tracks whether Austin will experience extreme heat on a specific summer day in 2026. The outcome depends on official temperature readings from a trusted government source, reflecting real-world climate conditions and measurement standards.

Kalshi

The event determines the outcome based on the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom International Airport on August 1, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market resolution. If the recorded temperature falls within any of these ranges, the associated market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same verification source and methodology, emphasizing the use of official NWS data over third-party weather services. Traders must recognize that preliminary NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, and final resolution will rely solely on the authoritative daily climatological report published after the event date.