TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 2, 1:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Austin will experience extreme heat on a specific summer day in 2026. The outcome depends on official temperature readings from a trusted government source, reflecting real-world climate conditions and measurement standards.
The event determines the outcome based on the highest temperature recorded in Austin Bergstrom International Airport on August 1, 2026, as officially reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily). Six distinct temperature ranges are defined, each corresponding to a different market resolution. If the recorded temperature falls within any of these ranges, the associated market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets share the same verification source and methodology, emphasizing the use of official NWS data over third-party weather services. Traders must recognize that preliminary NWS data may include rounding or conversion nuances, and final resolution will rely solely on the authoritative daily climatological report published after the event date.