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Highest temperature in Atlanta on June 5?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Atlanta on June 5?

Volume:
$62,972

84-85°F

 - Polymarket

84-85°F - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 6, 2026

Closed: Jun 5, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

84-85°F

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,315
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

82-83°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,372
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

86-87°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,393
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

88-89°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,343
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

78-79°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,536
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-81°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,969
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

90-91°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,226
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

92-93°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,225
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

77°F or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,112
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

94-95°F

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$892
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

96°F or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$587
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Hartsfield-Jackson International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ga/atlanta/KATL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional weather analyst forecasts because markets incorporate real-time trader sentiment and broader information flows. While meteorologists rely on atmospheric models and historical data, prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many participants with financial incentives to forecast accurately. For the Atlanta June 5 high temperature, comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to National Weather Service forecasts or AccuWeather predictions can reveal whether traders are more bullish or bearish on extreme heat than official models suggest. This comparison highlights how markets may price in tail risks or consensus blind spots.

On Polymarket, the Highest temperature in Atlanta on June 5 is priced as a set of outcome shares, each representing a specific temperature range or threshold. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy and sell these shares, and the price of each reflects its implied probability; a share trading at 0.65 implies a 65% market-estimated chance of that outcome occurring. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, so prices adjust continuously based on order flow. The current odds and 24-hour volume on this event are visible on the platform's order book, allowing traders to assess liquidity and conviction around each temperature scenario.

The Highest temperature in Atlanta on June 5 market resolves on Jun 5, 2026, after the actual high temperature for that day is recorded. Resolution is determined by official weather data for Atlanta, typically sourced from the National Weather Service or a designated meteorological authority. Once the day concludes and the final high temperature is confirmed, the market settles to the outcome that matches the recorded value. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The exact resolution criteria and data source are specified in the market's terms.

Several factors could shift odds for Atlanta's June 5 high temperature. Major weather pattern changes—such as a cold front, heat dome, or tropical system—would be reflected in updated meteorological models and trigger trader repositioning. Seasonal climate anomalies, El Niño or La Niña conditions, and historical temperature records for early June in Atlanta all influence expectations. Real-time weather updates, model consensus shifts, and breaking news about atmospheric conditions in the days leading up to June 5 will drive trading activity. Additionally, as the event date approaches, increased forecast certainty typically narrows the range of plausible outcomes and concentrates liquidity around the most likely temperature band.