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Highest temperature in Ankara on May 31?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Ankara on May 31?

Volume:
$64,993

21°C

 - Polymarket

21°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 1, 2026

Closed: May 31, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

21°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19,104
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,239
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,415
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,740
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,337
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,859
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,651
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,587
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,217
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$626
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$218
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money consensus from traders and can be compared against meteorological forecasts and seasonal climate models for Ankara in late May. Analyst predictions typically rely on historical temperature patterns, atmospheric data, and seasonal trends, while market odds incorporate forward-looking trader sentiment and uncertainty pricing. Divergences between the two often signal where the market sees additional risk or opportunity relative to traditional weather forecasting methods.

The market resolves at May 31, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official highest temperature recorded in Ankara on May 31, typically sourced from meteorological authorities or established weather data providers. The outcome is binary, matching reported temperatures against predefined thresholds. Once the actual temperature is confirmed and published, the market settles automatically, and traders' positions are paid out according to the outcome.

Several factors could shift market odds before resolution. Seasonal weather pattern updates, atmospheric pressure systems, and long-range climate forecasts from meteorological agencies may influence trader expectations. Major weather events or anomalies in the weeks leading up to May 31 could signal shifts in regional temperature trends. Additionally, historical May temperature records for Ankara and real-time weather model updates closer to the event date will likely drive trading activity and repricing as new data becomes available.