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$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

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30,097

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

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Highest temperature in Ankara on May 30?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Ankara on May 30?

Volume:
$76,536

18°C

 - Polymarket

18°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 31, 2026

Closed: May 30, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

18°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,579
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

20°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,720
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,194
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,822
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,200
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,889
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C or higher

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,425
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

12°C or below

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,832
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

14°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,424
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

13°C

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,139
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market tracks whether the highest temperature recorded in Ankara on May 30, 2026 will fall within specific degree ranges. On Polymarket, the leading outcome—a high of 18°C—stands at 37.0%, while a high of 17°C carries 32.0% probability. Resolution will be determined by Weather Underground's historical data from Esenboğa International Airport Station. Watch for late-May weather pattern forecasts as May 30, 2026 approaches to gauge whether seasonal warming will push temperatures toward the 18°C threshold or remain closer to 17°C.

Frequently asked questions

The Highest temperature in Ankara on May 30 dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for temperature outcomes on that specific date. It displays the current probability of each temperature threshold, 24-hour trading volume of $42,412, and cumulative group volume of $76,536. The dashboard updates continuously as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting the market's evolving consensus on Ankara's peak temperature. You can monitor price movements, historical trends, and liquidity to understand how market participants are pricing different temperature scenarios leading up to the May 30, 2026 resolution.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket represent crowdsourced expectations from active traders, while meteorological analyst forecasts rely on numerical weather models and expert interpretation. Analyst predictions for Ankara's May 30 high temperature typically incorporate seasonal patterns, atmospheric pressure systems, and historical climate data. Market odds may diverge from analyst consensus if traders have access to different information or assign different probabilities to weather scenarios. Comparing the two approaches provides perspective: markets aggregate distributed knowledge, while analysts offer specialized technical forecasting. Both sources can inform your view of the likely temperature range.

The Highest temperature in Ankara on May 30 market resolves on May 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by the actual highest temperature recorded in Ankara on May 30, 2026. Official meteorological data from a designated weather station or national weather service serves as the source of truth for settlement. Once the day concludes and the final temperature is confirmed, the market will settle to the outcome that matches the recorded high. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.

Several factors could shift market odds for Ankara's May 30 high temperature. Updated seasonal weather forecasts from meteorological agencies may reveal changing atmospheric conditions or jet stream patterns. Major weather systems—heat waves, cold fronts, or monsoon activity—could alter expectations weeks in advance. Real-time May weather data as the date approaches will refine trader estimates. Climate anomalies or unusual pressure systems over the Mediterranean or Central Asia may influence Ankara's conditions. News of volcanic activity, solar cycles, or other atmospheric events could also move prices. As May 30 draws closer, short-term forecasts become more reliable, typically narrowing the range of expected temperatures and sharpening market pricing.