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Highest temperature in Ankara on June 6?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Ankara on June 6?

Volume:
$74,602

27°C

 - Polymarket

27°C - Polymarket

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 6, 2026

Closed: Jun 6, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

27°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,055
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,393
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,477
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,934
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,279
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,766
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,434
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,923
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,727
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,247
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$368
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money bets from traders and reflect collective expectations about Ankara's June 6 high temperature. Traditional weather forecasts from meteorological agencies and climate analysts typically rely on numerical weather models and historical data. Prediction markets often incorporate analyst forecasts but may diverge based on trader sentiment, recent weather patterns, and market-specific dynamics. Comparing the two approaches reveals whether markets are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic temperature outcomes than official forecasts suggest.

The market resolves on Jun 6, 2026, after the highest temperature in Ankara on June 6 has been recorded and verified. Resolution depends on official temperature data from a designated meteorological source for Ankara. The outcome is determined by which temperature bracket or specific value the actual recorded high falls into on that date. Once the official measurement is confirmed, the market settles and winning positions are paid out accordingly.

Several factors could shift market odds for Ankara's June 6 high temperature. Updated seasonal forecasts and long-range weather models may suggest warmer or cooler conditions ahead. Unusual atmospheric patterns, such as heat waves or cold fronts moving through the region, could alter expectations. Real-time weather data closer to June 6 will refine predictions. Climate anomalies, ocean temperature patterns, and jet stream positioning also influence regional temperatures. As the event date approaches, increasingly accurate short-range forecasts will drive final price adjustments.