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Highest temperature in Ankara on June 27?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Ankara on June 27?

Volume:
$61,406

28°C

 - Polymarket

28°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 27, 2026

Closed: Jun 27, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

28°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$16,176
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,553
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,968
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,772
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,519
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,095
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,257
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

32°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,170
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$872
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$796
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Ankara temperature prediction market on Polymarket displays real-time odds, historical price movements, and trading activity for this weather event. You can monitor the current probability of the highest temperature reaching specific thresholds on June 27, along with 24-hour volume of $43,867 and total liquidity of $61,406. The interface shows how traders are pricing the outcome as new information emerges, giving you a live snapshot of market sentiment around Ankara's peak temperature that day.

Prediction market prices reflect aggregated trader expectations and often diverge from traditional meteorological forecasts. While weather analysts rely on numerical models and historical data, this market incorporates real-time information and trader conviction through financial incentives. Comparing the implied probability here to published forecasts from meteorological agencies can reveal where the market sees higher or lower confidence in specific temperature outcomes. Both sources offer value: analysts provide technical depth, while markets reveal what informed participants actually believe will occur.

This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, once June 27 has passed and the highest temperature recorded in Ankara that day is confirmed. The outcome is determined by verified data from credible public sources tracking weather conditions in the city. Traders holding shares in the correct temperature bracket will receive their payout once the result is finalized and the platform settles all positions accordingly.

Several factors may shift prices before Jun 27, 2026. Updated weather forecasts from meteorological agencies often trigger repricing as model confidence changes. Seasonal patterns, atmospheric pressure systems, and any unusual weather events in the region can influence trader expectations. Real-time temperature data from nearby stations in the days leading up to June 27 may also prompt adjustments. Major climate anomalies or unexpected weather patterns reported in the news could cause sharp moves as participants reassess their probability estimates for the final outcome.