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Highest temperature in Ankara on June 13?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Ankara on June 13?

Volume:
$82,358

23°C

 - Polymarket

23°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

23°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,429
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,282
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,547
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,957
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,239
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,276
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,328
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,011
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,598
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

31°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$547
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature recorded in Ankara on June 13 on Polymarket. It displays the current implied probability of the leading outcome, 24-hour volume of $61,864, and historical price movements. Users can monitor how market participants are pricing different temperature ranges as the event date approaches, providing a live window into collective forecasting on this weather event.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money consensus from traders and can be compared against meteorological forecasts from weather agencies and climate analysts. Prediction markets often incorporate broader data sources and incentivize accuracy through financial stakes, while traditional forecasts rely on atmospheric modeling. Comparing the two reveals whether markets are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic temperature outcomes than official weather predictions for Ankara on that date.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the highest temperature in Ankara on June 13 is priced through outcome shares that traders buy and sell. Each temperature range or specific threshold represents a distinct contract, and the price of each share reflects the probability traders assign to that outcome. As new information emerges—seasonal forecasts, atmospheric patterns, or real-time weather data—traders adjust positions, moving prices to reflect updated expectations about Ankara's peak temperature on that day.

The market resolves on Jun 13, 2026, after the highest temperature in Ankara on June 13 has been recorded and verified. The outcome is determined by official temperature data from recognized meteorological sources for Ankara on that specific date. Resolution occurs once the final high temperature is confirmed, allowing winning positions to be settled and traders to receive payouts based on the actual recorded value.

Temperature expectations for Ankara on June 13 can shift based on seasonal weather pattern updates, long-range forecasts from meteorological agencies, and emerging climate anomalies. Major weather systems, heat waves affecting the Eastern Mediterranean region, or unusual atmospheric circulation patterns could influence market pricing. Additionally, as June approaches, short-range forecasts become more precise, allowing traders to refine their positions based on increasingly reliable meteorological data specific to that date.