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Highest temperature in Ankara on June 1?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Ankara on June 1?

Volume:
$54,373

23°C

 - Polymarket

23°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: Jun 1, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

23°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,101
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

25°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,984
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,901
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,369
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,497
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,226
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

26°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,359
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,280
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

27°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$765
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$588
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$302
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on Ankara's peak temperature on June 1, whereas traditional analyst forecasts rely on meteorological models and historical climate data. Markets often incorporate late-breaking weather patterns and seasonal anomalies faster than static forecasts. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic temperature scenarios than official weather services predict, highlighting where market sentiment diverges from institutional expertise.

The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026, after the highest temperature recorded in Ankara on June 1 is finalized. Resolution depends on official temperature data from a designated meteorological source for Ankara on that date. Once the peak temperature is confirmed, the outcome contract matching that result is marked correct, and traders holding winning shares receive their payout. The exact measurement methodology and data source are specified in the market's terms to ensure transparent and objective settlement.

Several factors could shift market odds before June 1. Seasonal weather pattern updates, atmospheric pressure systems moving toward Turkey, and long-range climate forecasts from meteorological agencies may trigger repricing. El Niño or La Niña conditions, volcanic activity affecting solar radiation, and regional heat waves in the Mediterranean could all influence expectations. Additionally, historical temperature anomalies for early June in Ankara and real-time weather model adjustments will likely drive trader behavior as the event date draws closer.