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Highest temperature in Ankara on July 13?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Ankara on July 13?

Volume:
$50,225

32°C

 - Polymarket

32°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 13, 2026

Closed: Jul 13, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

32°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,912
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

31°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,440
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

34°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,321
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

33°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,923
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

30°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,221
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

28°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,967
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

35°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$867
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

37°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$461
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

29°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$436
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

38°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$401
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

36°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Ankara temperature record market dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the highest temperature forecast in Ankara on July 13. The interface displays current market pricing, historical price movements, and 24-hour volume to help traders monitor sentiment around whether peak temperatures will reach specific thresholds. This dashboard aggregates all active positions and orders within this single venue, giving you a live snapshot of how the prediction community is pricing thermal outcomes for that date.

Prediction market odds reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on the outcome, whereas traditional weather analysts rely on numerical models and historical data. This market often incorporates late-breaking meteorological updates faster than published forecasts, since traders respond immediately to new information. However, both sources aim to estimate the same underlying event—the actual high temperature on July 13—so comparing the implied probability here to official weather service predictions can highlight where the crowd sees risk differently than institutional forecasters.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different temperature outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the balance of buy and sell pressure; as more traders back a particular outcome, its price rises, and vice versa. Your potential payout depends on the share price you paid and whether your chosen outcome occurs, creating direct financial incentives for accurate predictions.

This market resolves around Jul 13, 2026, once the highest temperature recorded in Ankara on July 13 becomes verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing actual meteorological data against the specific temperature thresholds embedded in each market option. Once the event concludes and official readings are confirmed, the winning outcome is locked in and traders' positions settle accordingly.

Major weather pattern shifts, updated seasonal forecasts, and real-time atmospheric data releases can all shift odds significantly. Unexpected heat waves, changes in jet stream positioning, or revised climate models may prompt traders to reprrice their bets. Additionally, as July 13 approaches, intraday weather updates and short-range forecasts become increasingly precise, often triggering sharp repricing in the final days. Breaking news about regional weather systems or anomalies can also trigger rapid trading activity in this market.