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Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 8?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 8?

Volume:
$48,066

21°C

 - Polymarket

21°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 8, 2026

Closed: Jun 8, 8:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

21°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,254
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

23°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,116
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,713
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,648
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,330
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

25°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,119
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

24°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,733
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,323
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$871
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$684
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on Amsterdam's June 8 temperature, while analyst forecasts typically come from meteorological models and seasonal climate reports. Markets often incorporate broader information faster than traditional forecasts, though both sources can diverge significantly during unusual weather patterns or when new climate data emerges. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic temperature scenarios than official weather predictions suggest for that date.

On Polymarket, the highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 8 is priced through an automated market maker that allows traders to buy and sell shares representing different temperature ranges or specific outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices adjust continuously based on order flow and trading volume, with each outcome's price reflecting the collective probability assigned by the market. Traders profit by correctly predicting whether Amsterdam's peak temperature will fall within their chosen range, with prices converging toward zero or one as the resolution date approaches.

The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026, after the highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 8 has been recorded. Resolution is determined by the official temperature data for that date, typically sourced from established meteorological authorities monitoring Amsterdam's weather. The outcome reflects the peak temperature reading during the specified day, ensuring a clear, verifiable result that settles all positions in the market.

Major weather pattern shifts, seasonal climate anomalies, and updated meteorological forecasts closer to June 8 could significantly move market odds. Heat waves, cold fronts, or unusual atmospheric conditions affecting Northern Europe may trigger repricing as traders adjust expectations. Additionally, historical temperature records for Amsterdam in early June and real-time weather model updates in the weeks leading up to the event will influence how the market prices different temperature outcomes.