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Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 5?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 5?

Volume:
$61,000

19°C

 - Polymarket

19°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 5, 2026

Closed: Jun 5, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

19°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,520
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,827
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,070
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

17°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,464
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,069
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,577
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,392
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

13°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,388
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

14°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,976
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

11°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$404
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

12°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$313
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect real-money bets from traders and reflect aggregate expectations, while analyst forecasts from meteorological services rely on atmospheric modeling and historical climate data. Prediction markets often incorporate analyst forecasts but also price in broader uncertainty and market sentiment. For Amsterdam's June 5 high temperature, comparing Polymarket odds to official weather service forecasts and seasonal climate models can reveal whether traders are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic outcomes than traditional meteorological guidance suggests.

The market resolves on Jun 5, 2026, after the highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 5 has been recorded and verified. Resolution is determined by the official temperature data for that day, typically sourced from established meteorological authorities or weather stations serving Amsterdam. Once the final high temperature is confirmed, the outcome is locked in and traders' positions settle according to which temperature bracket or outcome they backed.

Key signals include updated seasonal forecasts from European meteorological agencies, large-scale weather pattern shifts, and atmospheric pressure systems developing over Western Europe. Unusual heat waves or cold fronts moving toward the region in late May could significantly shift market odds. Real-time weather model updates, solar activity forecasts, and any anomalous climate events in the weeks leading up to June 5 may also influence trader positioning. As the date approaches, short-range forecasts become more reliable and typically drive sharper price movements.