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Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 13?
polymarket

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 13?

Volume:
$44,016

17°C

 - Polymarket

17°C - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 14, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

17°C

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$12,144
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

18°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,739
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

19°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,636
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

16°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,210
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

15°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,912
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,474
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

14°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,657
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

21°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,167
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

22°C

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$489
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

23°C or higher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

13°C or below

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect aggregated trader sentiment and can be compared against traditional meteorological forecasts from weather services and climate analysts. While prediction markets price outcomes based on collective belief and financial incentives, analyst forecasts rely on atmospheric modeling and historical data. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in more optimistic or pessimistic temperature scenarios than professional weather models suggest for Amsterdam on June 13. Divergences often highlight uncertainty or emerging information not yet reflected in either source.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 13 is priced through a set of outcome contracts, each representing a specific temperature range or threshold. Traders buy and sell shares in outcomes they believe will occur, with prices reflecting the collective probability assigned by the market. As new weather data, seasonal patterns, or climate signals emerge, prices adjust in real time. The platform's automated market maker or order-book mechanism ensures continuous pricing and liquidity for participants trading this weather event.

The market resolves on Jun 13, 2026, after the highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 13 has been recorded and finalized. Resolution is determined by the official temperature data for that date, typically sourced from recognized meteorological authorities or weather stations serving the Amsterdam region. Once the actual highest temperature is confirmed, the outcome is settled and winning positions are paid out according to which temperature range or threshold outcome occurred. The exact resolution criteria and data source are specified in the market's terms at launch.

Several factors could shift market odds for Amsterdam's highest temperature on June 13. Seasonal weather pattern updates, long-range forecasts, and climate anomalies in Northern Europe will influence trader expectations. Major atmospheric events such as heat waves, cold fronts, or unusual pressure systems could trigger significant repricing. Historical temperature records for that date and time of year provide a baseline; deviations from normal conditions often drive trading activity. As June approaches, short-range meteorological forecasts become more reliable and typically cause sharper price movements as uncertainty narrows.