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Consecutive days of average temperature in Phoenix above 90°F - week of Aug 24, 2026
kalshi

Consecutive days of average temperature in Phoenix above 90°F - week of Aug 24, 2026

Volume:
$41

2+ consecutive days

 - Kalshi

2+ consecutive days - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 11:59 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

2+ consecutive days

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$27
N/A
N/A
$27
Settled
Yes
kalshi

3+ consecutive days

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
Yes
kalshi

6+ consecutive days

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4+ consecutive days

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5+ consecutive days

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks whether Phoenix will experience consecutive days with average temperatures exceeding 90°F during a specific week. The focus is on identifying temperature patterns over multiple days to assess heat persistence. Outcomes depend on meeting or exceeding temperature thresholds across the defined period.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether Phoenix records a specified number of consecutive days with daily average temperatures strictly above 90°F during the week of August 24–30, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different minimum streak length (2, 3, 4, 5, or 6+ days). A day’s average temperature is calculated as the mean of hourly readings from 12:00 AM to 11:59 PM local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree, using data from The Weather Company at the expiration time—later revisions are ignored. An average of exactly 90°F does not count, and any day with fewer than 18 hourly reports breaks the streak. Only days within the specified week contribute to consecutive counts, and all markets resolve based on these consistent data and validation rules.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Phoenix heat streak market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the number of consecutive days with average temperatures above 90°F in Phoenix during the week of August 24, 2026. It shows the current top outcome, historical price trends, and 24-hour volume of $0. This single-venue view updates continuously as traders place bets, giving you a snapshot of market sentiment without any cross-platform aggregation.

Currently, this market implies a likelihood that reflects trader expectations for Phoenix's summer heat patterns. Those odds can diverge from analyst forecasts, which may incorporate climate models, historical averages, and regional weather trends. If new data emerges—such as an early heatwave or monsoon shift—the gap between market pricing and expert projections could widen or narrow. Monitoring both sources helps you spot potential mispricing or emerging consensus.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, official temperature records from recognized meteorological sources for the Phoenix area will be examined for the week of August 24, 2026. The exact count of consecutive days above 90°F determines the final result, and no further interpretation is needed beyond publicly available data.

Between now and resolution, this market could shift based on medium- to long-range weather forecasts, sudden changes in atmospheric patterns, or early-season monsoon activity. Key signals include updated National Weather Service outlooks, anomalous high-pressure system developments, and any extreme heat advisories issued for the Phoenix region. Traders will also watch for unexpected shifts in climate indices that influence Southwest U.S. temperatures.