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Consecutive days of average temperature in Phoenix above 90°F - week of Aug 18, 2026
kalshi

Consecutive days of average temperature in Phoenix above 90°F - week of Aug 18, 2026

Volume:
$19,438

6+ consecutive days

 - Kalshi

6+ consecutive days - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 2:59 AM EST

kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

6+ consecutive days

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,477
N/A
N/A
$5,250
Settled
Yes
kalshi

5+ consecutive days

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,054
N/A
N/A
$5,052
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4+ consecutive days

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,431
N/A
N/A
$3,398
Settled
Yes
kalshi

2+ consecutive days

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,433
N/A
N/A
$2,431
Settled
Yes
kalshi

3+ consecutive days

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,043
N/A
N/A
$1,031
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks whether Phoenix will experience consecutive days with average temperatures exceeding 90°F during a specific week. The focus is on identifying temperature patterns over a defined period, reflecting potential impacts of heatwaves on local conditions.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds of consecutive days with average temperatures strictly above 90°F in Phoenix from August 18 to August 24, 2026. Each market corresponds to a different minimum streak length (2, 3, 4, 5, or 6+ days). For any market to resolve as Yes, the specified number of consecutive days must meet the temperature requirement solely within the official week. The daily average temperature is calculated as the mean of hourly readings reported by The Weather Company from midnight to midnight local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree. If a day records exactly 90°F, it does not count toward any streak. Additionally, any day with fewer than 18 hourly temperature reports invalidates that day for streak purposes and breaks any ongoing streak. All data used for resolution will be the official readings published at the market's expiration time, with no adjustments for later revisions.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Phoenix heat streak market tracks real-time odds and price movements surrounding whether Phoenix will experience consecutive days of average temperatures above 90°F during the week of August 18, 2026. It also displays current trading volume of $19,438 and 24-hour volume of $5,225, letting users monitor market sentiment and liquidity for this weather-driven contract.

This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, official meteorological data for Phoenix will be examined to determine whether six or more consecutive days of average temperature above 90°F occurred during the week of August 18, 2026.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 25, 2026. Early summer heat waves, updates from long-range weather models, and monsoon development patterns may all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any unexpected climate phenomena — such as an early El Niño effect — could cause rapid re-pricing of odds as the market approaches its resolution window.