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Consecutive days of average temperature in New Orleans above 90°F - week of Aug 24, 2026
kalshi

Consecutive days of average temperature in New Orleans above 90°F - week of Aug 24, 2026

Volume:
$13,899

6+ consecutive days

 - Kalshi

6+ consecutive days - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

6+ consecutive days

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,518
N/A
N/A
$11,478
Settled
No
kalshi

2+ consecutive days

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,367
N/A
N/A
$1,367
Settled
No
kalshi

3+ consecutive days

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$798
N/A
N/A
$798
Settled
No
kalshi

4+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$123
N/A
N/A
$123
Settled
No
kalshi

5+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks whether New Orleans will experience consecutive days of high temperatures during a specific week. It focuses on the number of days in a row where the average temperature exceeds a set threshold, reflecting potential heatwave conditions.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds of consecutive days with average temperatures strictly above 90°F at KMSY in New Orleans from August 24 to August 30, 2026. For any market to resolve as Yes, the specified number of consecutive days (ranging from 2 to 6 days) must all meet the temperature requirement. Each day's average temperature is calculated as the mean of hourly readings from midnight to midnight local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree, using data published by The Weather Company at the expiration time—later revisions are ignored. A day with exactly 90°F does not count, and any day with fewer than 18 hourly reports breaks the streak, preventing it from contributing to any consecutive streak. Only days within the official week contribute to the evaluation, ensuring all markets share the same data source and methodology for consistency.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, official meteorological data for the week of August 24, 2026 will be examined to count consecutive days where New Orleans recorded an average temperature above 90°F. The result is determined solely by that empirical record, removing speculation. Traders should note that resolution occurs shortly after the final day of the relevant period, ensuring a timely close based on authoritative sources.

Between now and resolution, this market could shift based on medium- to long-range weather outlooks issued by national and regional meteorological agencies. Any significant update indicating a higher or lower probability of sustained heat will affect trader sentiment. Additionally, unexpected early-season tropical systems or abrupt changes in atmospheric patterns could dramatically alter expectations. Real-time tracking of temperature anomalies and ensemble model consensus will be key drivers, especially as the August 24 window approaches, potentially leading to volatility in pricing on Kalshi.