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Consecutive days of average temperature in New Orleans above 90°F - week of Aug 18, 2026
kalshi

Consecutive days of average temperature in New Orleans above 90°F - week of Aug 18, 2026

Volume:
$16,266

4+ consecutive days

 - Kalshi

4+ consecutive days - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 12:59 AM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,071
N/A
N/A
$4,790
Settled
No
kalshi

2+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,883
N/A
N/A
$3,796
Settled
No
kalshi

6+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,749
N/A
N/A
$1,102
Settled
No
kalshi

3+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,422
N/A
N/A
$2,422
Settled
No
kalshi

5+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,142
N/A
N/A
$2,048
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks whether New Orleans will experience consecutive days of high temperatures during a specific week. It focuses on the number of days in a row where the average temperature exceeds a set threshold, reflecting potential heatwave conditions.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds of consecutive days with average temperatures strictly above 90°F at KMSY in New Orleans from August 18 to August 24, 2026. For any market to resolve as Yes, the specified number of consecutive days (ranging from 2 to 6 days) must all meet the temperature requirement. Each day's average temperature is calculated as the mean of hourly values reported by The Weather Company from midnight to midnight local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree. Data is locked at the expiration time, and later revisions are ignored. A day with exactly 90°F does not count, and any day with fewer than 18 hourly reports breaks the streak, preventing it from contributing to the consecutive count. Only days within the specified date range are considered for streaks toward any outcome.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the New Orleans heat streak market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the likelihood of consecutive days with average temperatures above 90°F in New Orleans during the week of August 18, 2026. It also displays current 24-hour volume of $7,616 to show trader interest. This single-venue view updates continuously as market participants place bets, reflecting the latest collective expectations for the heat streak.

This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, official meteorological records for New Orleans will be examined for the week of August 18, 2026, to determine whether consecutive days met the 90°F average threshold. The result is binary — either the streak occurred or it did not — and is settled based on publicly available data.

Between now and resolution, this market could shift based on medium-term weather outlooks from agencies like the National Weather Service, which may update probability maps for extreme heat in the Gulf Coast. Sudden shifts in atmospheric patterns, such as the development of a high-pressure ridge or an early tropical system, would also influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any significant change in seasonal climate forecasts — for instance, from NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center — may cause volatility as participants reassess the likelihood of sustained heat.