TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Las Vegas will experience consecutive days with average temperatures exceeding 90°F during a specific week. The focus is on identifying temperature patterns over multiple days, reflecting potential heatwave conditions in the region.
The event evaluates whether Las Vegas experiences a specified number of consecutive days with average temperatures strictly above 90°F during the week of August 24–30, 2026. Each market requires a different minimum number of consecutive days (ranging from 2 to 6 days) to resolve to Yes. A day's average temperature is calculated as the mean of hourly temperatures reported by The Weather Company at KLAS from midnight to midnight local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree. Only days within the specified week count toward a streak, and a day with an average of exactly 90°F or fewer than 18 hourly reports breaks any streak. Data is locked at expiration, with later revisions disregarded.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, official temperature readings from recognized meteorological sources for Las Vegas will be examined for the week of August 24, 2026. If the recorded average temperatures meet the threshold on consecutive days as defined, the market settles accordingly.
Between now and resolution, this market could shift based on medium-term weather outlooks, updated climate models, and regional atmospheric patterns released by national weather services. Any significant forecast changes — for instance, predictions of an early monsoon or heat dome formation — would likely cause rapid price adjustments. Additionally, trader sentiment may react to extreme temperature anomalies reported in neighboring areas, influencing expectations for Las Vegas' heat streak.