TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Houston will experience sustained high temperatures over a specific week. It focuses on consecutive days where the average temperature exceeds a set threshold, reflecting potential heatwave conditions. The outcome depends on recorded meteorological data for the defined period.
Multiple markets within this event evaluate consecutive days of average temperatures above 90°F at KIAH in Houston during the week of August 24–30, 2026, with varying required streak lengths from two to six days. For any market to resolve as Yes, the specified number of consecutive days must each meet the condition of a strictly greater-than-90°F average temperature, calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly temperatures from 12:00 AM to 11:59 PM local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree. An exact 90°F average does not qualify, and only days within the official date range count toward the streak. If a day records fewer than 18 hourly temperature values, it invalidates the streak, resetting the count for that market. All data used for resolution will be the values published by The Weather Company at the market’s expiration time, with any subsequent revisions disregarded. The resolving Yes condition escalates with each market, requiring progressively longer heat streaks.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, official temperature data from recognized meteorological sources for the week of August 24, 2026 will determine whether the required consecutive days above 90°F occurred.
This market could shift based on seasonal weather forecasts, unexpected climate patterns like El Niño or La Niña developments, and extreme early-season heat events in Texas. Reports from national weather services, updated climate models, and prolonged heatwaves in surrounding regions may also influence trader sentiment and shift the odds before Sep 1, 2026.