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Consecutive days of average temperature in Houston above 90°F - week of Aug 18, 2026
kalshi

Consecutive days of average temperature in Houston above 90°F - week of Aug 18, 2026

Volume:
$56,220

4+ consecutive days

 - Kalshi

4+ consecutive days - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 12:59 AM EST

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,477
N/A
N/A
$9,008
Settled
No
kalshi

6+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,650
N/A
N/A
$7,520
Settled
No
kalshi

5+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,398
N/A
N/A
$5,326
Settled
No
kalshi

3+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,178
N/A
N/A
$5,480
Settled
No
kalshi

2+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,517
N/A
N/A
$1,718
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks whether Houston will experience consecutive days of high temperatures during a specific week. It focuses on the number of days in a row where the average temperature exceeds a set threshold, providing insight into potential heatwave conditions.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether Houston experiences a specified number of consecutive days with average temperatures strictly above 90°F during the week of August 18–24, 2026, measured at KIAH. Each market corresponds to a different minimum streak length (2, 3, 4, 5, or 6+ days). A day’s average temperature is calculated as the arithmetic mean of hourly temperatures reported by The Weather Company from midnight to midnight local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree. Only days within the specified week count toward a streak, and a day with exactly 90°F or fewer than 18 hourly reports breaks any streak. Data is locked at the expiration time, with later revisions disregarded.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $16,633 for the Houston heat streak market. It shows how traders view the likelihood of consecutive days with average temperatures above 90°F in Houston during the week of August 18, 2026. The interface updates continuously to reflect market sentiment and trading activity on Kalshi.

Currently, this market’s implied probability differs from many analyst forecasts, which often rely on long-term climate models or historical averages. Traders on Kalshi may be pricing in short-term weather patterns, recent trends, or perceived risks that aren’t fully captured in traditional forecasts. Comparing the two can reveal whether the market is leaning toward a hotter or milder week than experts expect.

This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, official temperature readings from recognized meteorological sources for Houston will be examined for the week of August 18, 2026, to determine if the required consecutive days above 90°F occurred.

Key signals include updates from reliable weather services, sudden shifts in long-range forecasts, extreme heat alerts, or unusual climate patterns developing in the weeks ahead. Any indication that temperatures are likely to stay above or drop below 90°F will shift trader sentiment and move this market’s odds on Kalshi as new information arrives.