TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 24, 1:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Denver experiences consecutive days of high temperatures above 90°F during a specific week. It examines temperature patterns and their persistence over several days in a defined timeframe, focusing on heatwave conditions.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds of consecutive days with average temperatures strictly above 90°F in Denver from August 18 to August 24, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the specified number of consecutive days (ranging from 2 to 6 days) are met. The daily average temperature is calculated as the mean of hourly temperatures reported by The Weather Company for KDEN from midnight to midnight local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree. Only days within the specified week count toward a streak, and an average of exactly 90°F does not qualify. Any day with fewer than 18 reported hourly values invalidates that day and breaks the streak. Data is locked at the expiration time, with later revisions disregarded.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, official temperature readings from recognized meteorological sources for Denver will be examined for the week in question. If the data shows the required number of consecutive days above the threshold, the contract settles accordingly; otherwise, it resolves as expected.
Between now and Aug 25, 2026, this market could shift based on several key signals. Extended heat waves or cold fronts appearing in long-range weather models may influence trader sentiment. Sudden updates from national weather services, shifts in atmospheric pressure systems, or unexpected climate phenomena like early-season storms could also cause volatility. As the week approaches, finer-grained forecasts and real-time temperature data will become critical drivers of price changes.