TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Consecutive days of average temperature in Dallas/Fort Worth above 90°F - week of Aug 24, 2026
kalshi

Consecutive days of average temperature in Dallas/Fort Worth above 90°F - week of Aug 24, 2026

Volume:
$171

3+ consecutive days

 - Kalshi

3+ consecutive days - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

3+ consecutive days

View
100%
23%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$103
N/A
N/A
$89
Settled
Yes
kalshi

2+ consecutive days

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
Yes
kalshi

4+ consecutive days

View
0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$62
N/A
N/A
$52
Settled
No
kalshi

5+ consecutive days

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

6+ consecutive days

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks whether Dallas/Fort Worth experiences consecutive days of high temperatures during a specific week. It focuses on the number of uninterrupted days where the average temperature exceeds a set threshold, reflecting potential heatwave conditions.

Kalshi

Multiple markets resolve based on the occurrence of consecutive days with average temperatures strictly above 90°F in Dallas/Fort Worth from August 24 to August 30, 2026. Each market requires a different minimum number of such consecutive days (ranging from 2 to 6 days) for resolution to 'Yes'. The daily average temperature is calculated as the mean of hourly temperatures reported by The Weather Company from midnight to midnight local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree. Only full days with at least 18 hourly reports are counted; a day with fewer reports or an exact 90°F average breaks any streak. All data used for resolution is taken from the publication at the market's expiration time, with later revisions disregarded.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Dallas heat streak market dashboard tracks real-time odds and price history for the likelihood of consecutive days with average temperatures above 90°F in Dallas/Fort Worth during the week of August 24, 2026. You can see current top-outcome chances, view charts of price movements over time, and check the latest 24-hour volume of $119. This market reflects trader sentiment on extreme heat duration in the region.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the odds through continuous bidding and asking, with prices reflecting the aggregated expectations of all participants. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate belief about achieving the temperature threshold over the specified week. Market depth and liquidity, represented by a volume of $171, help determine how smoothly prices adjust to new information or trading activity.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once official temperature data for the week of August 24, 2026, is verified against credible public sources such as government weather agencies. The market settles based on whether the recorded average temperatures meet or exceed 90°F for the required number of consecutive days, closing the market for final settlement.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including medium-range weather forecasts, updates from climate models, and developments in regional weather patterns like heat dome formation or storm systems. Any significant deviation in predicted temperatures — either hotter or cooler than current forecasts — may cause traders to adjust their positions, moving the odds toward or away from the streak occurring.