TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 24, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks whether Dallas/Fort Worth experiences at least two consecutive days with average temperatures above 90°F during the week of August 18-24, 2026. It uses official weather data to determine daily averages from hourly readings.
Multiple markets assess consecutive days of average temperature above 90°F in Dallas/Fort Worth from August 18 to August 24, 2026. Each market requires a specific minimum number of consecutive days (ranging from 2 to 6 days) where the daily average temperature, calculated as the mean of hourly values reported by The Weather Company for KDFW from 12:00 AM to 11:59 PM local time, exceeds 90°F. An exact average of 90°F does not count, and only days within the specified week contribute to streaks. Any day with fewer than 18 hourly reports breaks the streak, and data used is locked at expiration time with no later revisions considered.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, official temperature readings from recognized meteorological sources for the Dallas/Fort Worth area will be examined for the week of August 18, 2026. If the data shows enough consecutive days above 90°F, the affirmative side wins; otherwise, the contrary outcome is selected. No additional interpretation beyond the recorded temperatures is needed.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 25, 2026. Early summer heat waves or unusual weather patterns in North Texas may increase the perceived likelihood of a prolonged streak, driving prices upward. Conversely, extended periods of cooler weather, updated long-range forecasts from major meteorological institutions, or shifts in climate models could lower expectations. Any major news about El Niño, La Niña, or other large-scale atmospheric phenomena would also influence trader sentiment and market movement as the August date approaches.