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Consecutive days of average temperature in Austin above 90°F - week of Aug 31, 2026
kalshi

Consecutive days of average temperature in Austin above 90°F - week of Aug 31, 2026

Volume:
$5

2+ consecutive days

 - Kalshi

2+ consecutive days - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 7, 2026

Closed: Sep 6, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

2+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

3+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

4+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

5+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

6+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event monitors whether Austin endures at least two consecutive days with average temperatures exceeding 90°F within the same week of August 31 to September 6, 2026. It evaluates the severity and duration of heat conditions in the region.

Kalshi

Multiple markets assess consecutive days of average temperature above 90°F in Austin from August 31 to September 6, 2026. Each market specifies a minimum number of consecutive days (ranging from 2 to 6 days) required for a 'Yes' outcome. A day's average temperature is calculated as the mean of hourly temperatures reported by The Weather Company for KAUS from 12:00 AM to 11:59 PM local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree. Only days within the specified date range count toward a streak. A day with an average of exactly 90°F does not satisfy the condition, and any day with fewer than 18 reported hourly values breaks the streak. Data used for resolution is as published at the Expiration Time, with later revisions disregarded.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Austin heat streak market on Kalshi shows real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $4. It tracks trader sentiment and market movement as the event approaches, allowing users to monitor how the probability of consecutive days above 90°F in Austin during the week of Aug 31, 2026, evolves. With a total volume of $5, the dashboard reflects the collective wisdom of market participants betting on this weather outcome.

This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, official temperature readings from recognized meteorological sources for Austin during the week of Aug 31, 2026, will determine whether the required number of consecutive days above 90°F occurred. The market settles based on these verified records, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process.

Several signals could shift this market before it resolves. Early indications from seasonal forecasts, unexpected shifts in climate patterns, or El Niño/La Niña developments may influence trader sentiment. Additionally, extreme heat events in surrounding regions could raise concerns about similar conditions in Austin, while cooler-than-expected summer trends could depress probabilities. Government weather alerts, agricultural reports, and energy demand data — often tied to air conditioning use — also serve as key indicators that can move this market.