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Consecutive days of average temperature in Austin above 90°F - week of Aug 24, 2026
kalshi

Consecutive days of average temperature in Austin above 90°F - week of Aug 24, 2026

Volume:
$3,071

6+ consecutive days

 - Kalshi

6+ consecutive days - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 31, 2026

Closed: Aug 30, 11:59 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

6+ consecutive days

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,553
N/A
N/A
$1,553
Settled
No
kalshi

5+ consecutive days

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$944
N/A
N/A
$944
Settled
No
kalshi

4+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$251
N/A
N/A
$236
Settled
No
kalshi

3+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$246
N/A
N/A
$236
Settled
No
kalshi

2+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$76
N/A
N/A
$70
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event monitors if Austin sees at least two consecutive days with average temperatures above 90°F within the same August 24-30, 2026 timeframe. Official weather data sources determine the daily temperature averages used for resolution.

Kalshi

Multiple markets evaluate consecutive days of Austin's average temperature surpassing 90°F during August 24–30, 2026. Each market sets a distinct streak requirement (2–6+ days) of daily averages strictly exceeding 90°F, computed from hourly temperature values reported by The Weather Company for KAUS between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM local time, rounded to the nearest degree. Only days within the week contribute, and any day missing fewer than 18 hourly values or hitting exactly 90°F ends the streak. The data used is the version published at expiration, with no later adjustments considered.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Austin heat streak market dashboard tracks the probability of consecutive days with average temperatures above 90°F in Austin during the week of August 24, 2026. It shows current odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $112. This real-time view helps traders monitor market sentiment and betting patterns as the event approaches.

Currently, this market’s implied probability reflects trader expectations for the Austin heat streak. While analyst forecasts may vary, prediction markets often price in real-time data such as weather models and historical trends. Comparing this market to expert outlooks can reveal whether traders are more or less optimistic about prolonged high temperatures than institutional climate analysts.

This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, official temperature readings from trusted meteorological sources for Austin will be examined for the week of August 24, 2026 to determine if consecutive days met the 90°F threshold.

Key signals that could shift this market include updates from long-range weather models, sudden changes in atmospheric patterns, and reports of extreme heat events in surrounding regions. Any indication of higher or lower-than-expected temperatures in Austin — even weeks in advance — may cause traders to adjust odds, especially as the week of August 24 approaches.