TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Consecutive days of average temperature in Austin above 90°F - week of Aug 18, 2026
kalshi

Consecutive days of average temperature in Austin above 90°F - week of Aug 18, 2026

Volume:
$131,814

4+ consecutive days

 - Kalshi

4+ consecutive days - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 25, 2026

Closed: Aug 24, 12:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

4+ consecutive days

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$40,653
N/A
N/A
$29,623
Settled
No
kalshi

5+ consecutive days

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,351
N/A
N/A
$15,311
Settled
No
kalshi

3+ consecutive days

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,260
N/A
N/A
$19,278
Settled
No
kalshi

6+ consecutive days

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,198
N/A
N/A
$16,644
Settled
No
kalshi

2+ consecutive days

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,352
N/A
N/A
$7,253
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

The event assesses if Austin sees at least two consecutive days with average temperatures above 90°F within the same August 18-24, 2026 timeframe. Official weather data sources determine daily averages from hourly temperature measurements.

Kalshi

Several markets evaluate consecutive days of average temperature above 90°F in Austin from August 18 to August 24, 2026. Each market sets a threshold for consecutive days (from 2 to 6 days) where the daily average temperature, derived from the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by The Weather Company for KAUS between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM local time, must strictly exceed 90°F. An average of exactly 90°F is excluded, and only days within the week contribute to streaks. Days missing more than one hourly reading break the streak, and the data snapshot used is fixed at expiration with no subsequent adjustments allowed.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard tracks the current odds and price history for the Austin heat streak market, showing how traders view the likelihood of consecutive days with average temperatures above 90°F in Austin during the week of August 18, 2026. It also displays recent trading volume of $32,512 over the last 24 hours, giving you a live snapshot of market activity and sentiment around this weather-focused contract.

This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch official meteorological data for Austin’s average daily temperatures during the targeted week to determine if the streak meets contract conditions.

This market could shift based on medium-term weather outlooks, unexpected climate patterns, or extreme heat events elsewhere influencing trader expectations. Any significant forecast updates from major weather services, unusual atmospheric conditions, or early signs of prolonged heat in Austin may cause rapid price changes as participants adjust positions ahead of Aug 25, 2026.