TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 24, 12:59 AM EST
Kalshi
The event assesses if Austin sees at least two consecutive days with average temperatures above 90°F within the same August 18-24, 2026 timeframe. Official weather data sources determine daily averages from hourly temperature measurements.
Several markets evaluate consecutive days of average temperature above 90°F in Austin from August 18 to August 24, 2026. Each market sets a threshold for consecutive days (from 2 to 6 days) where the daily average temperature, derived from the arithmetic mean of hourly values reported by The Weather Company for KAUS between 12:00 AM and 11:59 PM local time, must strictly exceed 90°F. An average of exactly 90°F is excluded, and only days within the week contribute to streaks. Days missing more than one hourly reading break the streak, and the data snapshot used is fixed at expiration with no subsequent adjustments allowed.
This market resolves around Aug 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch official meteorological data for Austin’s average daily temperatures during the targeted week to determine if the streak meets contract conditions.
This market could shift based on medium-term weather outlooks, unexpected climate patterns, or extreme heat events elsewhere influencing trader expectations. Any significant forecast updates from major weather services, unusual atmospheric conditions, or early signs of prolonged heat in Austin may cause rapid price changes as participants adjust positions ahead of Aug 25, 2026.