TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 3:15 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T07:00:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T07:00:00Z
Currently, it’s important to note that this market is driven solely by the opinions of traders on Predict. Comparing these odds to external analyst forecasts or polls reveals how collective prediction differs from expert opinion. If analysts generally predict a positive outlook for Zhipu AI, but this market shows lower probabilities for an ‘up’ outcome, it suggests traders may have different information or a more skeptical view. Discrepancies between this market and external viewpoints can highlight potential opportunities or areas of disagreement regarding Zhipu AI’s future.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether Zhipu AI will move up or down. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the crowd. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price fluctuates based on supply and demand, with more buyers pushing the price up (increasing the probability of ‘up’) and more sellers pushing it down (increasing the probability of ‘down’). The market efficiently incorporates new information as traders react to news and events.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in Zhipu AI’s stock price between 3:00 AM and 3:15 AM ET on October 30th. A positive change indicates an ‘up’ outcome, while a negative or zero change indicates a ‘down’ outcome. Traders will be able to see the verified result on Predict following the resolution date, allowing for a clear determination of the market’s outcome.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 30, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Broader market trends in the AI sector, including news about competitors or regulatory changes, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected economic data releases or geopolitical events that affect investor sentiment could also contribute to price fluctuations. Any news that alters perceptions of Zhipu AI’s growth potential or risk profile is likely to be reflected in the market.