TOTAL VOLUME:

$143b

24H VOL:

$111,424,783

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,676,623,266

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,630,632,565

494,234

Markets across

37,330

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,871

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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38%

VS.

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Anthropic IPO by __?
polymarket
predict

Will Anthropic IPO by July 1, 2027?

Jun 1, 2026, 5:08 PM EST - Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$5,080,920
Volume 24h:
$101,741
46%
Liquidity:
$190,471
48%
Open interest:
$660,669N/A

December 31, 2026

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

73%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
predict

Trade on Predict

At 73¢ buys you 137 shares | Odds: 73% Total Payout: $137 | Net Profit: $37 Multiplier: 1.37x | ROI: 37% | APY: 344% 76 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

December 31, 2026

Trade
73%
Yes 73¢No 28¢
1¢
$6,110
$44,023
3%
9%
N/A
2mo 2w 2d
active
polymarket

December 31, 2026

Trade
71%
1%
Yes 71¢No 30¢
1¢
$50,427
$1,202,435
4%
14%
N/A
2mo 2w 2d
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
70.6%
Yes 72¢No 29¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

December 15, 2026

Trade
60%
10%
Yes 61¢No 41¢
2¢
$7,404
$213,306
11%
45%
N/A
2mo
active
polymarket

November 30, 2026

Trade
56%
4%
Yes 56¢No 45¢
1¢
$12,373
$319,615
7%
31%
N/A
1mo 2w 1d
active
polymarket

November 15, 2026

Trade
6%
Yes 5.9¢No 94.9¢
0.8¢
$20,432
$138,643
0.2%
14%
N/A
1mo
active
predict

October 31, 2026

Trade
2%
Yes 2¢No 99¢
1¢
$2,081
$70,471
0.19%
0.19%
N/A
2mo 2w 2d
active
polymarket

October 31, 2026

Trade
0%
Yes 0.5¢No 99.7¢
0.2¢
$87,695
$1,260,630
0.04%
7%
N/A
2w 1d 5h
active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
0.5%
Yes 1.3¢No 99.4¢
Avg: 0.6¢Max: 1¢
polymarket

September 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,103,612
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

September 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$1,936
$28,535
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 2d
No
polymarket

September 15, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$325,160
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

October 15, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$247,418
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

July 31, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75,772
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

June 30, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$32,231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

September 15, 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$2,012
$19,069
N/A
N/A
N/A
2mo 2w 2d
No
Total markets: 14

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of Anthropic, an artificial intelligence company, completing an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by December 31, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket and Predict is 71.0% that Anthropic will IPO by that date, according to data aggregated by PredictionHero. Resolution will be determined by official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange, including SEC filings and press releases. Keep an eye on Anthropic’s activities leading up to the resolution date estimate of January 1, 2027, as this marks the end of the betting period for whether an IPO will occur by the specified deadline.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict use identical resolution criteria regarding IPO listing, acquisition, and primary resolution sources.Primary resolution logic: Official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic.

Core resolution logic:

  • Markets resolve 'Yes' if Anthropic shares are listed and trading on a public exchange by the specified date/time.
  • Markets resolve 'No' if Anthropic is acquired by a company already publicly traded.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Direct Listing vs. Traditional IPO: The resolution criteria do not distinguish between a traditional IPO and a direct listing; both are considered a 'listing on a public securities exchange'.
  • Trading Halt: A temporary halt in trading after the initial listing will not invalidate a 'Yes' resolution, as long as the shares were initially listed and open for trading.
Timing: Resolution will occur when official filings or announcements confirm either an IPO (shares listed and trading) or an acquisition by a public company, but no later than the specified date and time for each market.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic shares are listed on a public securities exchange and open for trading by 11:59 PM ET on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If Anthropic is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is official filings and announcements from Anthropic and the relevant securities exchange on which the shares are listed, including SEC filings (e.g., Form S-1, Form 8-A), exchange listing confirmations, and official press releases from Anthropic; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the aggregated probabilities surrounding the question of whether Anthropic will complete an initial public offering. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms suggests a significant likelihood of an IPO occurring by a certain date. The total volume traded across both platforms for the Anthropic IPO market is $5,080,920, with $79,273 changing hands in the last 24 hours. This provides a real-time gauge of market sentiment regarding Anthropic’s IPO prospects, consolidating data from multiple sources into a single, informative view.

Prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. Analysts typically base their predictions on company financials, industry trends, and expert opinions, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders. These traders weigh a broader range of information, including potentially non-public data and subtle shifts in sentiment. While analysts may currently have a specific price target or timeline for an Anthropic IPO, the probabilities expressed in this market represent a dynamic, real-time assessment of the likelihood of that event occurring.

Prices for the Anthropic IPO market can vary between Polymarket and Predict due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information, leading to differing interpretations of the same data. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific rules and incentives on each platform can influence trading behavior and, consequently, the displayed probabilities. Currently, Polymarket currently favors Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? at 70.5%, while Predict leans toward Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? at 73.0%.

This market resolves around Jan 1, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether Anthropic has officially launched an initial public offering before that date. The outcome will be determined by examining official announcements from Anthropic, regulatory filings, and reports from reputable financial news sources. The goal is to establish a clear and objective determination of whether an IPO has occurred, based on publicly available information.

Several key signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any official announcements from Anthropic regarding its IPO plans, such as filing an S-1 registration statement with the SEC, would likely cause a substantial price movement. Major developments in the broader economic climate, particularly those affecting the technology sector, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected regulatory hurdles or shifts in market conditions could also play a role. Positive or negative news regarding Anthropic’s financial performance or competitive positioning would also be closely watched by traders in this market.