TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 4:00 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T07:45:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T07:45:00Z
Currently, prediction market odds often present a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may offer opinions based on fundamental research and industry trends, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a broader range of information and potential outcomes. Discrepancies can arise due to differing assumptions, biases, or access to information. It’s valuable to consider both viewpoints when forming your own assessment of the likely outcome for Zhipu AI. Examining the difference between these perspectives can reveal valuable insights.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will go up or down. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe Zhipu AI will go up, the price of 'up' contracts will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of all traders.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the change in Zhipu AI’s valuation during the specified timeframe of October 30, 3:45AM-4AM ET. The final price will be determined by publicly available data sources, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their prediction aligned with the actual outcome during that period.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 30, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would be key catalysts. Unexpected regulatory changes impacting the AI industry in China could also have a substantial effect. Broader market sentiment towards AI stocks and technological innovation generally will play a role, as will any significant news regarding competing AI companies. Positive or negative press coverage and analyst upgrades or downgrades could also influence trading activity and shift the odds.