TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

24H VOL:

$279,496,801

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

40,107

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,571

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
predict

Will ZHIPU/USDT price be up or down?

Volume:
$225

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET - Predict

1W

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Positive

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Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 30, 2026

Closed: Oct 30, 3:45 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 30, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$37
$225
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T07:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T07:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of Zhipu AI’s performance is changing over time, as well as the total volume traded in this market, currently at $224. The dashboard provides a visual representation of market sentiment and activity, allowing you to monitor how traders are assessing the potential for an upward or downward trend for Zhipu AI. Total volume across the lifetime of this market is $225.

Currently, it’s difficult to draw direct comparisons between the odds offered in this market and traditional analyst forecasts for Zhipu AI. While analysts may provide opinions on the company’s future performance, prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a broader range of perspectives and information. The market’s price represents what traders collectively believe, and can sometimes anticipate events before they are widely recognized by analysts. It’s important to remember that both approaches have their strengths and weaknesses when evaluating potential outcomes.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about Zhipu AI’s future performance. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, creating a real-time assessment of probability. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective expectation of traders, and changes as new information becomes available or sentiment shifts. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive market, constantly updating to reflect the latest insights.

This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI experiences an upward or downward trend in its publicly available valuation during the specified timeframe. The exact determination will rely on publicly accessible data points, ensuring transparency and objectivity. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and claim any winnings based on their positions in this market.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, financial performance, or strategic partnerships would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader trends in the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or advancements in competing technologies, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to the Chinese tech sector or macroeconomic conditions could also play a role. Any information that alters the perceived future prospects of Zhipu AI has the potential to move this market.