TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 3:30 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T07:15:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T07:15:00Z
Currently, it’s difficult to draw direct comparisons between the odds in this market and traditional analyst forecasts, as there is limited publicly available consensus on Zhipu AI's near-term trajectory. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than typical analyst reports, potentially leading to different assessments of the likelihood of an upward or downward trend. This market represents a collective intelligence view, reflecting the aggregated beliefs of participants actively trading on Predict.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will move up or down. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of the outcome, with higher prices indicating a greater perceived likelihood. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand, meaning it responds to new information and changing sentiment among traders. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the change in Zhipu AI’s valuation during the specified timeframe of October 30, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET. The market will determine whether Zhipu AI experienced an upward or downward movement based on publicly available data at that time, and the outcome will be clearly indicated on Predict.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 30, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would be key catalysts. Broader news related to the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or advancements from competitors, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected economic data releases or shifts in investor risk appetite might also play a role, as these factors can affect valuations across the tech sector. Any significant news impacting Zhipu AI’s perceived future prospects could drive price fluctuations.