TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 3:15 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T07:00:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T07:00:00Z
Currently, it’s important to note that this market operates independently of traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may offer opinions on Zhipu AI’s future prospects, the odds displayed on Predict represent the collective prediction of a diverse group of traders. These traders are incentivized to accurately assess the probability of the event occurring, potentially leading to a different outlook than what you might find in standard financial or tech analysis. This market provides a unique perspective based on real-money stakes, rather than solely on expert opinion.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will be. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds constantly adjust to incorporate new information and changing sentiment surrounding Zhipu AI.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will assess whether Zhipu AI's performance has moved up or down based on publicly available data released during the specified timeframe. The resolution will be based on objective criteria, ensuring a transparent and impartial assessment of the event's outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their predictions aligned with the verified results.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Any significant news regarding Zhipu AI’s technological advancements, funding rounds, or partnerships could shift trader sentiment. Major announcements from competitors in the AI space, or broader economic trends impacting the tech sector, could also play a role. Regulatory changes related to AI development and deployment are another potential catalyst. Positive or negative press coverage, and even social media discussions surrounding Zhipu AI, could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.