TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$244,077,041
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,901,278,909
407,043
Markets across
39,548
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,422
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 3:45 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T07:30:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T07:30:00Z
Currently, it's important to note that there are no readily available analyst forecasts specifically addressing the short-term performance of Zhipu AI in the timeframe covered by this market. Therefore, a direct comparison isn’t possible. However, this market provides a unique perspective, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. The odds represent a real-time assessment of probability, potentially capturing factors that traditional analysts might overlook or weigh differently. It’s a valuable data point when considering broader expectations for the company.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts directly reflects the implied probability of Zhipu AI’s performance. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth—the volume of buy and sell orders at different price levels—indicates how confident traders are in their predictions and how easily the price could move.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI's performance meets the conditions defined within the market rules, as determined by the platform. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their positions in the market. It's important to monitor news and developments related to Zhipu AI leading up to the resolution date to understand the potential factors that could influence the result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product releases, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Broader news concerning the AI industry, including regulatory changes or advancements by competitors, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected economic data or geopolitical events that affect technology companies generally could also play a role. Monitoring these factors and their potential implications for Zhipu AI is crucial for understanding potential shifts in this market.