TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$235,918,089

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

Markets across

40,428

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,364

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$324

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 29, 2026

Closed: Oct 29, 3:30 AM EST

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Predict

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$5
$324
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T07:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T07:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on the outcome. You’ll also find a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time, giving you a visual representation of market sentiment. Additionally, the dashboard displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $324, and the total volume traded to date, which is $324. This allows you to gauge the level of activity and interest in this particular market.

Currently, it's important to note that there are no widely available analyst forecasts specifically focused on the short-term performance of Zhipu AI. Therefore, a direct comparison isn't possible at this time. However, this market provides a unique perspective, aggregating the wisdom of the crowd to generate a probability-based forecast. When compared to general sentiment and news coverage surrounding Zhipu AI, the market odds can offer a contrarian or confirmatory signal, potentially revealing insights not captured by traditional analysis.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; increased buying pressure raises the price, indicating growing confidence in that outcome, while increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s stock price increases or decreases during the specified timeframe, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET on October 29th. The final price will be determined by publicly available data sources and will be assessed against established financial reporting standards. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.

Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any significant news regarding Zhipu AI, such as major product announcements, partnerships, or financial results, would likely cause price fluctuations. Broader market trends in the AI sector, or overall economic news, could also play a role. Unexpected regulatory changes impacting the AI industry or Zhipu AI specifically could also move the market. Finally, shifts in investor sentiment, driven by social media or analyst commentary, could impact trading volume and price direction.