TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 2:30 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T06:15:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-29T06:15:00Z
Currently, prediction market odds often present a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may offer opinions based on reports and models, this market reflects the collective judgment of individuals putting their money behind their beliefs. Discrepancies can arise from differing information access, biases, or simply a different interpretation of the same data. It’s common to see this market anticipate outcomes before they are widely recognized by analysts, or to express a higher degree of uncertainty than traditional forecasts suggest.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand – if more people believe Zhipu AI will perform well, the price will rise, and vice-versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI experiences an upward or downward trend during the specified timeframe – October 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET. The exact determination will rely on publicly available data and analysis, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the event’s result. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Predict following the event.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 29, 2026. Any major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Broader news related to the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or breakthroughs from competitors, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected technical issues or positive user feedback related to Zhipu AI’s models could also shift the market’s sentiment, as could shifts in overall market sentiment towards AI investments.