TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 10:15 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T02:00:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-30T02:00:00Z
Currently, it’s important to note that there are no widely available analyst forecasts directly comparable to this market. However, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional polls or individual analyst opinions. This is because the odds reflect the collective judgment of many traders, each with their own insights and motivations. Therefore, this market can be seen as a valuable signal of potential outcomes, potentially offering a different perspective than what you might find in conventional forecasts.
On Predict, this market is priced through a simple supply and demand mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will move up or down during the specified time window. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more people buy contracts betting on one outcome, the price of those contracts increases, while the price of contracts betting on the other outcome decreases. This dynamic pricing reflects the collective wisdom of the crowd and provides a real-time assessment of the probability of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the change in Zhipu AI’s value during the 10PM-10:15PM ET window on October 29th. The specific methodology for determining “up” or “down” is defined by the market’s rules on Predict, and will be applied consistently to determine the winning outcome. Traders should review those rules for complete details.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any significant news regarding Zhipu AI, such as announcements about new products, partnerships, or financial performance, would likely have a substantial impact. Broader trends in the artificial intelligence sector, including regulatory changes or advancements from competitors, could also move the market. Finally, general market sentiment and overall economic conditions could play a role, as investors’ risk appetite can affect trading activity in this market.