TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 28, 3AM-3:15AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$124

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 28, 3AM-3:15AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 28, 3AM-3:15AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 3:15 AM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 28, 3AM-3:15AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$0
$124
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-28T07:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-28T07:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, volume is $123 and the total volume for this market is $124. You can see how the probabilities have shifted over time with the price chart, and gauge current interest through the volume indicators. This provides a real-time view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of Zhipu AI’s performance.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts, as those forecasts vary widely and are often qualitative. However, prediction markets, like this one, often aggregate diverse opinions and can serve as a 'wisdom of the crowd' indicator. If analysts are generally optimistic about Zhipu AI’s future, we might expect to see increasing confidence reflected in the odds on Predict. Conversely, negative sentiment could lead to lower probabilities.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Zhipu AI will perform well, the higher the price of the 'yes' contracts will climb, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities accordingly.

This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI experiences a significant upward or downward movement during the specified 3AM-3:15AM ET timeframe on October 28th. The specific criteria for 'up' or 'down' will be determined by changes in relevant metrics, as publicly reported and widely accepted within the AI community.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new models, partnerships, or funding rounds would likely cause movement. Positive or negative media coverage, particularly regarding the performance or capabilities of their AI, could also shift the odds. Broader trends in the AI industry, such as advancements from competitors or changes in regulatory landscapes, could also influence trading activity in this market. Any unexpected technical issues or security breaches could also have a substantial effect.