TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$244,077,041

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,901,278,909

407,043

Markets across

39,548

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,422

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI price be up or down?

Volume:
$635

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 3:45 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$106
$635
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T07:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T07:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on the outcome. You'll find a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time, giving you a sense of market sentiment. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $635, and the total volume traded to date, which is $635. This provides a clear overview of activity and interest in this particular market.

Currently, it's difficult to draw direct comparisons between the odds in this market and traditional analyst forecasts, as the field of AI development is rapidly evolving and subjective. However, prediction markets often incorporate a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially reflecting a broader range of information and perspectives than a single analyst report. If analysts are generally optimistic or pessimistic about Zhipu AI's near-term prospects, we might see that reflected in the price movement of this market, but it won’t be a one-to-one correlation.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe Zhipu AI will perform well, the price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s performance demonstrates an upward or downward trend during the specified timeframe. The exact determination will rely on publicly available data and analysis, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the event’s outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on their positions in this market.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product releases, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Broader news about the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or breakthroughs by competitors, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected technical issues or security breaches impacting Zhipu AI's services could drive the price down, while positive media coverage or strong user adoption metrics could push it higher. Any significant development related to the company’s trajectory could affect this market.