TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$181,481,432

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,827,991,073

405,996

Markets across

40,551

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,368

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI price be up or down?

Volume:
$188

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET - Predict

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 1:30 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$495
$188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T05:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T05:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on the outcome. You’ll find a price history chart showing how those odds have changed over time, giving you a sense of market sentiment. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $189, and the total volume traded to date, which is $188. This provides a clear picture of how actively this market is being traded and how much conviction exists behind different potential outcomes.

Currently, prediction market odds often offer a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may provide qualitative assessments of Zhipu AI’s potential, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, translating diverse opinions into a quantifiable probability. Discrepancies can arise from differing methodologies, biases, or access to information. If analysts are consistently bullish while this market remains neutral, it could suggest traders perceive unquantified risks or believe the potential upside is already priced in. Conversely, a bullish market signal versus bearish analyst views may indicate traders have access to information not yet public.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. This creates a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding Zhipu AI, distinct from static polls or expert opinions.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI experiences a significant upward or downward movement during the specified timeframe, as determined by publicly available data. The precise nature of “up or down” is defined by the market’s rules, and the resolution will be based on objective criteria, not subjective interpretation. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Predict following the event.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product releases, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Broader developments in the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or breakthroughs by competitors, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to the Chinese technology sector or macroeconomic conditions could also influence trading activity. Positive or negative media coverage, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and even social media trends could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.