TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 3:15 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T07:00:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T07:00:00Z
Currently, it’s important to note that there are no readily available analyst forecasts specifically targeting the short-term performance of Zhipu AI as captured by this market. However, prediction market odds often incorporate a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ effect, potentially reflecting insights not yet captured in traditional analyst reports. If analyst opinions become available, comparing them to the probabilities implied by this market will be valuable. This comparison can reveal whether the market anticipates different outcomes than those predicted by experts.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will experience an increase or decrease within the specified timeframe. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, creating the odds you see on the dashboard. Higher demand for ‘yes’ contracts (Zhipu AI goes up) drives up the price, indicating a greater perceived probability of that outcome, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the traders participating in this market.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the change in Zhipu AI’s value during the 3AM-3:15AM ET window on October 26th. A clear increase or decrease will determine the winning outcome. The exact methodology for verifying this change will rely on publicly available data sources, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process for this market.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would be key catalysts. Broader news concerning the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or breakthroughs by competitors, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected economic data releases or shifts in investor sentiment towards tech stocks generally might also move the market. Any substantial news flow related to Zhipu AI’s technology, funding, or market position has the potential to alter the probabilities reflected in this market.