TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$277,138,640

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,905,404,943

412,077

Markets across

39,838

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,526

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$0

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET - Predict

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 3:45 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

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N/A
N/A
—
$7
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Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T07:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T07:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on the outcome. It also displays the price history, showing how sentiment has shifted over time. You can also see the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $0, and the total volume traded to date, which is $0. This provides a real-time view of how people are assessing the potential for Zhipu AI's performance.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts. However, prediction markets often aggregate a diverse range of perspectives, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than any single analyst. When considering forecasts, it’s important to remember that analysts may have biases or limited information, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders actively putting their capital at risk. It's a fascinating comparison to consider when evaluating potential outcomes.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe Zhipu AI will perform well and buy 'yes' contracts, the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI experiences an upward or downward trend during the specified timeframe of October 26, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET. The exact determination will rely on publicly available data and analysis of the company’s performance during that period, as assessed by the platform’s standards.

Several signals could significantly move this market. Any major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product releases, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Broader news concerning the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or breakthroughs by competitors, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected economic data or geopolitical events that affect investor sentiment could also play a role in shifting the odds in this market. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential price movements.