TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.6b

24H VOL:

$323,326,361

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,969,435,260

419,363

Markets across

40,411

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
predict

Will ZHIPU/USDT price go up or down?

Volume:
$49

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 3:30 AM EST

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Predict

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$9
$49
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T07:15:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T07:15:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on the outcome. You’ll also find a price history chart showing how sentiment has shifted over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $49. This allows you to see how much activity there’s been recently. Total volume for this market is $49, indicating overall interest. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how the crowd is assessing the potential for Zhipu AI to move up or down.

Currently, it's important to note that there are no readily available analyst forecasts directly comparable to the specific question posed by this market. However, generally, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional polls or analyst reports. This can lead to differences in probabilities, as prediction markets are driven by financial incentives and real-money trading, potentially offering a more accurate reflection of collective belief. It’s valuable to consider both sources of information when forming your own opinion.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe Zhipu AI will move up, the price of 'up' contracts will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing allows the market to aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the situation.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the change in Zhipu AI's valuation during the specified timeframe – October 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET. The determination will be based on publicly available data and will reflect whether the AI company’s value moved up or down during that period. The exact method for verifying the change will rely on established financial data sources.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely cause movement. Broader news concerning the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or breakthroughs by competitors, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected economic data releases or shifts in investor sentiment towards tech stocks generally could also play a role. Finally, any negative press or controversies surrounding Zhipu AI could lead to a decrease in confidence and a shift in the market.