TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.7b

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$1,923,931,766

416,910

Markets across

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PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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37%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 2AM-2:15AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$1

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 2AM-2:15AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 2AM-2:15AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 2:15 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 2AM-2:15AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$10
$1
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T06:00:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T06:00:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, reflecting what traders are willing to pay to bet on the outcome. It also displays a price history chart, showing how those odds have changed over time, and the 24-hour trading volume, which indicates how much activity this market is currently seeing. Currently, the volume is $1 and the total volume is $1. This data provides a real-time view of market sentiment regarding Zhipu AI's performance.

Currently, it's difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to specific analyst forecasts, as those forecasts vary widely and are often qualitative. However, prediction markets, like this one, often aggregate a diverse range of opinions and information, potentially offering a more accurate forecast than any single analyst. If analysts are generally optimistic about Zhipu AI's future, we might expect to see the 'yes' side of this market gain traction, and vice versa. It's a useful exercise to compare the direction of movement in this market to general sentiment.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe Zhipu AI will perform well, the higher the price of the 'yes' contracts will climb, and the lower the price of the 'no' contracts. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI's performance meets a predefined threshold during the specified timeframe. The specifics of that threshold are available on the market page. Traders will then be paid out based on the final outcome and their positions in this market. This timeframe allows for sufficient data collection and verification of the event's result.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or technological breakthroughs would likely have a substantial impact. Positive or negative media coverage, particularly from reputable sources, could also shift sentiment. Broader trends in the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or competitor actions, could also influence trading activity. Finally, any unexpected news related to Zhipu AI’s funding or leadership could cause significant price fluctuations in this market.