TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 3:00 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T06:45:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T06:45:00Z
Currently, it’s important to note that this market represents the collective wisdom of traders on Predict. Comparing these odds to external analyst forecasts can reveal interesting insights. If analysts are generally bullish on Zhipu AI’s prospects, but this market shows a more cautious outlook, it suggests traders may be incorporating factors not fully captured in traditional analysis. Conversely, if analysts are pessimistic and this market is optimistic, it could indicate traders believe the company is undervalued or poised for a positive surprise. Examining these differences can inform your own assessment.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts reflects the probability of the event occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand, meaning that increased buying pressure will drive the price up, indicating a higher perceived probability, while increased selling pressure will drive the price down. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the latest information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI's performance moves up or down during the specified timeframe. The determination will be made by assessing publicly available data and reports relating to the company’s progress and market position. The outcome will be determined by a verifiable change in the company’s standing, as reported by reliable sources. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely cause a shift in sentiment. Positive news, such as exceeding revenue expectations or securing a significant contract, would likely increase the price, while negative news, like a product recall or disappointing earnings report, could decrease it. Broader trends in the AI industry, including regulatory changes or advancements by competitors, could also influence trading activity and move this market.