TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$181,481,432

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,827,991,073

405,996

Markets across

40,551

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,368

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Science and Technology
Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T06:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T06:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the likelihood of the event occurring, alongside a historical chart showing how those probabilities have shifted over time. The 24-hour volume, currently at $2,146, indicates the amount of trading activity in the last day. Total volume for this market is $2,146, showing overall interest. This information allows you to gauge market sentiment and understand how actively this market is being traded.

Currently, it's important to note that this market is driven solely by the collective predictions of traders on Predict. Comparing these odds to external analyst forecasts reveals how market participants weigh information differently than traditional experts. If analysts are generally optimistic about Zhipu AI’s prospects, but this market shows lower probabilities, it could indicate traders are factoring in risks not fully captured by those forecasts. Conversely, if the market odds are higher than analyst expectations, it suggests a bullish sentiment among traders. This comparison provides a broader view of potential outcomes.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts indicating a belief that Zhipu AI will perform positively, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of participants, offering a real-time assessment of potential future events.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI experiences an upward or downward trend during the specified timeframe of October 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET. The final price of contracts on Predict at resolution will reflect the market’s assessment of the event’s outcome. The outcome is determined by objective data and is not subject to interpretation or opinion.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected news related to the broader AI industry, such as regulatory changes or breakthroughs by competitors, could also influence trading activity. Additionally, shifts in overall market sentiment towards AI stocks or technology in general could drive changes in the odds. Positive or negative press coverage and social media trends surrounding Zhipu AI could also contribute to movement in this market.