TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 1:30 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T05:15:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T05:15:00Z
Currently, it's important to note that there are no readily available analyst forecasts directly comparable to the specific question addressed by this market. However, generally, prediction market prices often incorporate a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially reflecting information not yet fully captured in traditional analyst reports. If analyst opinions suggest a different likelihood of Zhipu AI’s success than what is implied by the odds on Predict, this could represent an interesting point of divergence for informed traders. It’s crucial to consider all available information when evaluating this market.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether Zhipu AI will move up or down. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price fluctuates based on supply and demand; if more people believe Zhipu AI will move up, the price will increase, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly adapt to new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on the change in Zhipu AI’s stock price during the specified time window, October 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET. The market will determine whether the price moved up or down during that period. It’s important to remember that the final outcome is determined by objective data, not subjective interpretation, ensuring a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 26, 2026. Any major news regarding Zhipu AI, such as announcements about new products, partnerships, or financial performance, would likely have a substantial impact. Broader market trends in the AI sector or general economic news could also influence trading activity. Unexpected regulatory changes or competitive pressures could also shift sentiment. Finally, significant shifts in investor confidence regarding the future of AI technology could also move this market.