TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$251

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 11:45 PM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$5
$251
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T03:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T03:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $247, and the total volume traded to date is $251. You can see how the probabilities have shifted over time with the price chart, and monitor real-time trading activity. This provides a clear view of how traders are assessing the likelihood of the outcome related to Zhipu AI’s performance.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on company reports and industry trends, this market incorporates the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. If analysts are largely bullish on Zhipu AI, you might see higher prices in this market, but discrepancies can arise if traders perceive risks or opportunities not fully captured in conventional analysis. It's a fascinating comparison of different forecasting approaches.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, with higher prices indicating greater confidence. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders adjust their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, creating a dynamic price discovery process. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all participants in this market.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI experiences an upward or downward trend during the specified timeframe of October 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET. The specific details of what constitutes an “upward” or “downward” trend are publicly available within the market's rules on Predict.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Any major news regarding Zhipu AI, such as announcements of new product launches, partnerships, or financial results, would likely impact trading activity. Broader trends in the AI industry, including regulatory changes or competitor actions, could also play a role. Unexpected technical issues or security breaches related to Zhipu AI’s systems could also cause shifts in the market, as could significant shifts in investor sentiment toward AI stocks generally.