TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.8b

24H VOL:

$238,896,186

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,985,204,718

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,897,934,485

408,127

Markets across

39,552

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,429

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$231

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 10:45 PM EST

predict

Predict

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Outcome
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predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$0
$231
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T02:30:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-27T02:30:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You'll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the likelihood of the outcome, along with a record of past price fluctuations. The 24-hour volume, currently at $227, indicates how actively this market is being traded. Overall volume for this market is $231, showing the total interest. This information helps you understand market sentiment and potential trading opportunities related to Zhipu AI.

Currently, it’s important to note that this market represents the collective prediction of traders on Predict. These predictions may differ from those of traditional analysts or polls. While analyst forecasts offer expert opinions, this market reflects real-money wagers, potentially providing a more accurate signal of what participants believe will happen. Comparing this market to external forecasts can reveal areas of agreement or disagreement, offering a broader perspective on the potential outcome of the Zhipu AI event.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of these contracts directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price fluctuates based on supply and demand; increased buying pressure drives the price up, indicating higher confidence in the outcome, while increased selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the latest information and collective intelligence.

This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI experiences an upward or downward trend during the specified timeframe of October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET. The final price of contracts on Predict will reflect the determined outcome, and traders will be paid out accordingly based on their positions. This allows for a clear and transparent resolution process.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 27, 2026. Any major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product releases, partnerships, or financial performance could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to the broader AI industry, such as regulatory changes or breakthroughs by competitors, could also influence the market. Furthermore, shifts in overall market sentiment towards technology stocks or AI specifically could play a role in how this market prices. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential price movements.