TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 10:00 PM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T01:45:00Z
This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T01:45:00Z
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinions. Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market reflects traders’ expectations regarding Zhipu AI’s performance. It is often observed that prediction markets can incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives than traditional forecasts, potentially leading to more accurate predictions. However, analyst forecasts provide valuable context and specialized knowledge. Discrepancies between the two can highlight areas of uncertainty or disagreement about Zhipu AI's trajectory.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome of Zhipu AI’s performance. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectations of the participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price is determined by the highest bid and lowest ask, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the probability of an upward or downward trend for Zhipu AI. This mechanism ensures that the market price efficiently incorporates new information as it becomes available.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s stock price demonstrates an upward or downward trend between 9:45PM and 10:00PM ET on October 25th. The specific criteria for determining the trend will be based on publicly available financial data and will be assessed by the platform's resolution process. Participants can expect a clear and transparent determination of the outcome based on verifiable information.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution. Any major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely impact trading activity. Broader market trends in the artificial intelligence sector, including news about competitors or regulatory changes, could also influence the market. Unexpected economic data releases or geopolitical events that affect investor sentiment could create volatility. Positive or negative news coverage about Zhipu AI’s technology or its competitive position could also drive price movements in this market.