TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12AM ET
predict

Will Zhipu AI be up or down?

Volume:
$6

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12AM ET

 - Predict

Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12AM ET - Predict

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 26, 2026

Closed: Oct 26, 12:00 AM EST

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Zhipu AI Up or Down - October 25, 11:45PM-12AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$0
$6
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T03:45:00Z

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than the price at the beginning of that range. It will resolve to "Down" if the ZHIPU/USDT price at the end of the time range is lower than the price at the beginning of that range. If the two prices are exactly equal, the market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is Chainlink, specifically the ZHIPU/USDT data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zhipu-usdt-markpriceindex-datalink?timeframe=1d&chart=candlestick To verify the final price, use the close price of the 5m candlestick just before the market's end time. For example, for a market running from 1:00 to 1:15 PM ET, use the close price of the 1:10 PM candlestick as the final price. The resolution source uses the index price (field i) from Binance's USDS-Margined Futures Mark Price Stream for All Markets (!markPrice@arr), denominated in the quote currency. This market is based solely on the price reported by the Chainlink ZHIPU/USDT data stream, not on other sources or futures markets. If Chainlink data is unavailable or otherwise unusable for resolution, the market will resolve based on a consensus of reliable sources. 2026-10-26T03:45:00Z

Frequently asked questions

On Predict, the dashboard for the Zhipu AI market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how traders are pricing the likelihood of the outcome, along with a chart showing how those prices have changed over time. The current 24-hour volume indicates how actively this market is being traded. Total volume for this market is $6, and the overall volume since launch is $6. This allows you to quickly assess market sentiment and activity.

Currently, it’s difficult to make a direct comparison between the odds in this market and traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may offer opinions on Zhipu AI’s future performance, their predictions aren’t expressed in the same probabilistic terms as a prediction market. This market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a diverse range of perspectives and information. It's important to remember that analyst forecasts and prediction market probabilities represent different approaches to assessing the same underlying event, and may not always align.

On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market odds are constantly updated and responsive to changing conditions.

This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on whether Zhipu AI’s value has increased or decreased during the specified timeframe. The precise methodology for determining the change in value will be based on publicly available data and will be assessed after the resolution date. The outcome of this market will be determined by publicly available information at that time.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 26, 2026. Major announcements from Zhipu AI regarding new product launches, partnerships, or financial performance would likely have a substantial impact. Broader developments in the AI industry, such as regulatory changes or breakthroughs by competitors, could also influence trading activity. Additionally, significant shifts in overall market sentiment towards AI stocks or technology in general could drive price fluctuations in this market. Unexpected news related to Zhipu AI’s funding or leadership could also be a catalyst.